Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 362.057692 413.634217 471.900757 542.989580 627.905113 726.738537 851.432518
2024-12-29 285.865121 351.566488 433.073842 543.144586 690.281103 883.672088 1163.079173
2025-01-05 240.293153 309.271587 400.018655 530.900689 719.574000 989.494092 1419.994087
2025-01-12 211.615007 282.333891 379.843695 528.260943 756.211218 1107.111149 1718.600866
2025-01-19 183.127406 250.962276 347.857633 501.550301 749.594709 1154.503238 1913.660556
2025-01-26 173.464718 244.674351 350.362943 525.806969 825.178582 1348.001764 2417.037287
2025-02-02 167.162893 242.244859 357.791001 558.176834 919.315411 1594.293255 3104.589649
2025-02-09 155.367877 229.892527 347.853456 559.606362 958.340129 1746.259651 3648.998881
2025-02-16 142.241869 214.025309 330.262016 544.893188 964.033755 1832.215880 4072.349224
2025-02-23 131.476951 200.925841 315.793857 533.614766 974.026460 1928.926011 4560.569251
2025-03-02 126.139800 196.248406 315.090418 547.570175 1037.399481 2159.710416 5516.186333
2025-03-09 119.630882 188.966433 308.985008 550.149689 1076.917144 2344.663669 6431.075913
2025-03-16 111.493039 178.428102 296.410315 539.104865 1086.374388 2462.976389 7218.112201
2025-03-23 105.724843 171.609050 290.052452 540.049923 1124.113578 2668.546009 8450.012773
2025-03-30 98.906254 162.348476 278.202656 527.831120 1128.015550 2781.757136 9408.276906
2025-04-06 93.883604 155.957468 271.233191 525.215202 1155.321580 2972.636858 10841.619480
2025-04-13 86.634128 144.953074 254.358910 498.694465 1116.633008 2950.123554 11290.127042
2025-04-20 85.434661 145.144519 259.605924 522.778453 1216.731048 3408.782685 14561.385474
2025-04-27 85.005820 146.740990 267.806073 554.914817 1346.924624 4028.139069 19554.729271
2025-05-04 81.669942 142.457920 263.453851 556.333955 1389.069025 4344.973497 23115.528125
2025-05-11 77.170953 135.596366 253.114007 541.727402 1380.253081 4460.747209 25415.797670
2025-05-18 73.298407 129.747078 244.502071 530.530238 1380.218401 4615.427838 28301.678947
2025-05-25 71.739991 128.435771 245.594295 544.385041 1463.411371 5167.680803 35780.905937